In development

TDRA Consulting is being built and isn’t formally taking engagements yet. The services and projects described here reflect completed work and current capability. If something here matches a problem you have, get in touch anyway. Early conversations are welcome.

Business analytics & applied AI · Winnipeg, Manitoba

What is actually happening?

Turn business data into better decisions.

TDRA Consulting helps organizations turn business data into clearer answers and practical next steps, from reporting and business analytics to predictive analytics and applied AI. You bring the problem. The analysis follows.

  1. 01What is happening?
  2. 02What does the evidence tell us?
  3. 03What does it mean?
  4. 04What should we do next?

Does any of this sound familiar?

Most of the problems TDRA works on start the same way. Something in the business doesn’t add up, and the reports don’t explain it. Pick the one closest to yours.

Your numbers don’t agree.

  • Sales says one thing.
  • Operations says another.
  • Your dashboard says something else.
Where we’d start
Find out which number is right, and why the others differ. Usually it’s a definition, a timing difference or a data source nobody has checked in a while.
Capabilities that usually help
Business IntelligenceBusiness & Operational Analytics
This is my problem

You have data, but not a decision.

  • There are reports, spreadsheets and exports.
  • Everyone has a theory.
  • Nobody can say what is actually driving the problem.
Where we’d start
Name the decision you’re trying to make, then work backwards to the few numbers that would change it. Most of the data you already have is enough to begin.
Capabilities that usually help
Business & Operational AnalyticsDecision Support
This is my problem

Something is happening, and you don’t know why.

  • Performance changed.
  • A process slowed down.
  • Customers stopped converting, or costs moved.
Where we’d start
Describe the change precisely: when it started, where, and in which part of the business. Then split it into its parts before testing any theory.
Capabilities that usually help
Business & Operational AnalyticsWorkflow & Process Analysis
This is my problem

You need to know what happens next.

  • A plan depends on a number you can’t see yet.
  • There are more options than time to try them.
  • Last year’s trend is the only forecast.
Where we’d start
Agree what decision the estimate is for and how accurate it needs to be. Forecasting, prioritization and scenario analysis can then turn historical data into a choice you can defend.
Capabilities that usually help
Predictive AnalyticsDecision Support
This is my problem

On AI

Do you need AI?OrDo you need a better decision?

Sometimes the answer is AI. More often it’s a number everyone agrees on, a cleaner process, or a simple model people trust. TDRA starts with the decision and reaches for AI only when it earns its place.

When it helps
Large volumes of text or records to sort, patterns too big to see by hand, or forecasts that can be checked against what actually happened.
When it doesn’t
The numbers don’t agree yet, nobody owns the decision, or a well-built spreadsheet already answers the question.
How it’s used here
Simplest method first. Accuracy and limits stated plainly. You keep the decision. Sandra, the assistant on this site, works the same way: she helps frame the problem, she doesn’t make the call.

Where AI can earn its place

  • Search and information discovery
  • Document and knowledge processing
  • Classification
  • Prediction
  • Recommendation
  • Workflow support

What gets checked first

  • Accuracy
  • Interpretability
  • Reliability
  • Human oversight
  • Business usefulness
Bring the business problem

Start with the problem. The analysis follows.

Data is only useful when it helps you make a better decision. Sales, customers, operations, inventory and financial performance all tell a story. The hard part is knowing what that story means.

TDRA doesn’t start with a technology. It starts with the business question and works backward into the data. Every engagement follows the same four steps, whichever tools end up being used. Sometimes that means a clear report. Sometimes it means segmentation, a forecast, a predictive model or an applied AI tool.

Step 01 of 04 · Illustrative

You don’t need to know which service you need.

Describe what’s happening in the business. Working out whether that calls for a dashboard, a driver analysis or a forecast is part of the job.

Bring the business problem

The toolkit. The problem picks the tool.

These are tools for answering a question, not products to buy. Most engagements are fixed-scope projects of one to four weeks, and the problem decides which tools get used.

Lit chevrons show which of the four steps, Business, Data, Decisions, Action, each tool serves.

Analysis from someone who has run the operation.

TDRA is founder-led by Troy Dela Rosa. Before analytics, he spent more than a decade in retail operations, most recently directing a $2M+ location with direct responsibility for P&L, margin, payroll, inventory and staffing. He then trained formally in data science and machine learning.

The point isn’t to be the most technical person in the room. It’s to understand how the operation actually works, then use analytical methods to investigate the data behind the decisions.

The goal isn’t to build complicated models for their own sake. It’s to understand the business problem, investigate the data, find what matters, and turn the analysis into something a decision maker can actually use.

Show me the evidence.

Two kinds of evidence, kept separate on purpose.

Operating experience

From more than a decade running retail operations.

10+ yrs

Retail and business operations.

Direct responsibility for P&L, margin, payroll, inventory, staffing and day-to-day operating performance. The decisions were made with whatever numbers were on hand.

$2M+

Annual revenue managed with direct P&L responsibility.

Roughly 11% EBITDA sustained through a corporate-directed wind-down, with about 40% gross margin and 20% payroll managed along the way. More on the About page

Applied analytics

From portfolio projects on public, public-style or self-collected data. Not client results.

0.80Portfolio

ROC-AUC for a predictive conversion model on held-out data.

A two-stage model on a public-style GA4 dataset. The top tenth of scored sessions converted at about three times the base rate. Not a client deployment. Read the case

86Portfolio

Applications coded in a funnel analysis.

Direct applications converted to interview at 9.7%, while one job board converted at zero. The same method applies to a sales or recruitment funnel. Read the case

TDRA doesn’t publish client outcome data. Client engagements are described by what they produced: the analysis, the finding and the recommendation.

The question, the analysis, and what it changed.

View all work

Projects where a business question, the data, and the analysis meet: business analytics, machine learning and applied AI, each written up from the question to what it changed.

Bring the business problem.

Have a business problem, a reporting challenge, a data question or an AI idea worth exploring? You don’t need to know which service you need. Start with the question.

Start the conversation ↗